Welcome guest   login       Deutsch, Dansk   
 

Expert System

Back, Introduction, Situation Analysis, Instructions, Technical Background

Technical Data

In this section we present the six equations, which translate the situational analysis into predicted consequences. For a less technical treatment of these equations, select Theoretical Considerations.

In the equations the following abbreviations are used:

DS: Decision Significance
IC: Importance of Commitment
LE: Leader Expertise
LC: Likelihood of Commitment
GA: Goal Alignment
LD: Likelihood of Disagreement
GE: Group Expertise
CT: Interaction Constraint
TC: Team Competence
VT: Value of Time
VD: Value of Development

There are five possible choices for ten of the situational factors and two for Interaction Constraint. In descending order, the alternatives are translated into the values — 1 through 5. Prior to entering these into the equations, they are transposed as shown below:

Scale Values

  DS IC LE LC GA LD GE CT TC VT VD

1 0 0 1 1 –2 0 1 0 1 0 0
2 1 1 2 2 –1 1 2   2 1 1
3 2 2 3 3 0 2 3   3 2 2
4 3 3 4 4 +1 3 4   4 3 3
5 4 4 5 5 +2 4 5 1 5 4 4

The functions used in the equations appear below:

Functions

  f1 f2 f3 f4 f5 f6 f7

Decide –1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Consult (Individually) 0 0 0 .3 .5 0 .25
Consult (Group) 0 0 .25 .6 .5 1 5
Facilitate 0 .4 .5 .95 1 1 1
Delegate 0 1 1 1 1 1 1.0

Following are the equations:

Equations

1. Overall  =  Decision Quality + Implementation – Cost + Development – Interaction Constraint
 
2. Decision Quality  =  DS/3 ((f1 x (5-LE) – f2x(2–GA) – f2(7.5–(GE+TC/2)) + f7x (5–LE)/8 x ((TC–1) x (GE–1) x (GA+2)/10) + (f3 x (GA+2) x LD/20))) + 2
 
3. Implementation  =  IC/8 (f4 x (5–LC) + (f3 x (LDx(5–LC)/40))) x 2.5
 
4. Cost  =  VT/6 x((2xf5 ) +(f3 x (LD+5–TC))/2)
 
5. Development  =  VD x DS/10 x (f3/8 x (GA x LD+4) + f4)
 
6. Interaction Constraint  =  CT x 5 x f6